Analyst Explains When Russian Troops In Ukraine Will "run Out"
- 24.05.2025, 22:39
They will destroy themselves on the defenses of the AFU without achieving any strategic results.
If the Russian occupiers continue their offensive in Ukraine for another year at the same pace as they have been doing for the last year and a half - they will destroy themselves against the defense of the AFU without achieving any strategic results. The enemy will have territorial gains, but he will get them at the cost of huge losses.
A military analyst, director of the New Geopolitics Research Network platform Mikhail Samus told about this in an interview with "Telegraf". He explained that the offensive operation of the Russian Armed Forces continues from October 2023, all of 2024 and goes into 2025.
- In fact, Russia continues the same operation, the task of which has not changed: the occupation of the entire Donbass, as well as the maximum occupation of Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions, with the possibility of reaching Dnipropetrovsk region. It is possible to extend the occupation to Kharkiv region. That is, maximum territorial gains in order to have a stronger position in any communications with the U.S., Ukraine and Europe. What do we see in the dry balance at this point? This operation had no operational successes," the military expert said.
He compared the statistics of Russian losses since October 2023 and Russia's territorial gains. In his opinion, this is just a tactical level.
- Of course, we can say that on the Pokrovsky direction Russia was advancing and had certain territorial achievements, but this is not even an operational level. As a result of these long, intensive, very bloody for the Russians actions, they did not carry out a breakthrough of the Ukrainian front, - the analyst emphasized.
He recalled the hysteria of the Russians against the background of attempts to expand the operation to Kharkiv region and advance to Volchansk.
- The Western press then spoke about the capture of Kharkiv. And we know how it is done: Russia "leaks" information, allegedly some insider information that the Russian Federation wants to take Kharkiv, to advance in all directions, to take Pokrovsk...
Pokrovsk was "taken" in June last year and the front "fell" regularly since April last year. A year has passed and the results are completely unacceptable in terms of the losses Russia has suffered. If we imagine that Russia continues this offensive for another year, with the same results, well, it will simply be the destruction of the Russian military on the Ukrainian defense," said the director of the New Geopolitics Research Network platform.
He added that the Ukrainian defense this year is clearly more stable.
- The formation of corps is underway, clearly distributing the line of defense and the responsibility of a particular corps command. The corps will be subordinated to brigades, which will clearly perform tasks and will be supplied with everything necessary and prepared precisely by the corps command, not by temporary operational-tactical, operational-strategic commands. So, this is really a step forward," summarized Mikhail Samus.